Bai Zhongen: Under special circumstances, short-term breakthrough in deficit and debt may help solve long-term problems. Bai Zhongen, president of Tsinghua University Institute of Economics and Management and vice chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that in the understanding and implementation of policies, there are sometimes some stereotypes, which make us bound by these stereotypes. Breaking these constraints is very important for our policy understanding and policy implementation. The first mindset is that it will bring moral hazard if the central government helps local governments pay their debts. The second mindset, in the past, some people insisted that the deficit should not exceed a certain proportion and the debt should not exceed a certain proportion. He bluntly said that the upper limit of debt and deficit also depends on short-term and long-term. In the long run, we can't have too many deficits and too many debts. Therefore, when we encounter special circumstances in the short term, we should allow the deficit and debt to exceed a certain ratio.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.The institutional deposits of Ping An Bank exceeded 400 billion yuan. At the beginning of this year, Ping An Bank successfully won the bid for the qualification of central treasury centralized payment agent bank. Interface journalists learned from the recent Digital Intelligence Government Conference held by the bank that up to now, Ping An Bank has more than 1,000 core government qualifications and institutional deposits have exceeded 400 billion yuan. At the conference, the bank officially released the "Safe and Intelligent Government Affairs" platform, and signed general-to-general partnership agreements with the first batch of 10 institutional business partners, including Booz Software, Shenyue Software and Guangdong Bankruptcy Administrators Association.
On the analysis of the daily limit at noon on December 13, the three major indexes fell by more than 1% in half a day, and the AI application side strengthened against the trend. Rishang group has 12 boards in 13 days, and one picture can be understood > >Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Hezhou, Guangxi: It is planned to resume accepting applications for individual housing provident fund loans such as newly-built single-family commercial houses and townhouses. The Hezhou Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region issued an announcement on publicly soliciting opinions on the Notice on Adjusting the Use Policy of Housing Provident Fund in this Municipality (draft for comments). The document also requires that the proportion and number of housing provident fund loans be optimized. The minimum down payment ratio for the first and second sets of housing provident fund loans is not less than 20%. The number of housing units applying for housing provident fund loans is determined according to the number of housing units of the applicant's family in the place of purchase (Babu District, Pinggui District, Zhongshan County, fuchuan county and Zhaoping County). Increase efforts to support the purchase of houses in different places and withdraw housing provident fund. Cancel the restrictions on the residence registration and work place for purchasing houses in different places. If the depositor of the housing provident fund in this city purchases self-occupied houses in different places, and the purchase time is within two years from the date of issuance of this notice, he may apply for the purchase of houses and withdraw the housing provident fund, and the total withdrawal amount shall not exceed the purchase price paid. If you have applied for a house purchase loan and repaid it for one year, you can apply for withdrawing the housing provident fund to repay the housing loan. The document also proposes to resume accepting applications for individual housing provident fund loans for newly-built single-family commercial houses, townhouses with low floors, townhouses with multi-floors and non-standard duplex houses.
Yuncheng, Shanxi: The maximum amount of housing provident fund loans for families with two or more children is 1.2 million yuan. On December 12, according to the news of "Yuncheng Municipal People's Government" on WeChat WeChat official account, Yuncheng City, Shanxi Province recently issued "Measures for Yuncheng City to Further Promote the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market". The measures mentioned that for high-level talents, families with two or more children, the maximum amount of housing provident fund loans will increase by 20% on the basis of 1 million yuan; Optimize the "loan recognition" standard for housing provident fund loans; Increase the amount and frequency of rental withdrawal; Expand the scope of housing provident fund purchase; In Salt Lake District and Yuncheng Economic and Technological Development Zone, those who purchase commercial housing (including stock houses) will open a green channel for household registration, and tenants will give priority to school-age children.Shenzhen recently released four overcharge standards. According to the news of "Shenzhen Release", yesterday, the reporter learned from the Shenzhen Municipal Market Supervision Administration that Shenzhen has made further progress in promoting the construction of electric vehicle charging facilities, and recently took the lead in releasing four overcharge standards. At present, Shenzhen has issued six leading local standards for overcharging, including the grading evaluation standard for decentralized charging facilities for electric vehicles, grading evaluation standard for centralized charging stations for electric vehicles, long-term failure judgment standard for charging equipment for electric vehicles and management standard for construction of charging facilities for electric vehicles in residential quarters. As of December 5, Shenzhen has guided the construction of 913 overcharging stations, added 121,000 charging facilities and upgraded 3,047 old piles. The official implementation of the four latest overcharge standards issued by Shenzhen indicates that Shenzhen has taken another solid step on the road of building an "overcharged city".China Construction established a new company in Beijing, including real estate development and operation business. According to the enterprise search APP, China Construction Eighth Bureau (Beijing) Construction Co., Ltd. was recently established, with Liu Guangtao as its legal representative and a registered capital of 300 million yuan. Its business scope includes: construction project construction; Construction engineering design; Construction of cultural relics protection project; Construction engineering survey; Real estate development and management; Quality inspection of construction projects; Safety production inspection and testing, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is indirectly wholly-owned by China Construction.